Sports Betting Menu

Spain vs Italy: Football Prediction & Betting Tips. Europe – UEFA Nations League

The UEFA Nations League is set to witness an electrifying semi-final clash between Spain and Italy on the 15th of June, 2023. The victor will earn the privilege of facing either the Netherlands or Croatia in the grand finale. This encounter is a replay of the previous Nations League semi-final, where Spain triumphed 2-1 in Milan. Will history repeat itself, or will Italy turn the tables? Let’s delve into our prediction and betting tips for this thrilling match-up.

A Glance at the Journey So Far

Spain, having topped Group 2 of League A with 11 points from six matches, narrowly surpassed Portugal by a single point, courtesy of a 1-0 victory in Braga on the final matchday. Italy, on the other hand, mirrored Spain’s record in the group stage, with three wins, two draws, and a solitary loss. Their back-to-back victories in the final two games propelled them past Hungary, Germany, and England to this stage.

Recent Form and Performance

Both teams enter this semi-final following a series of disappointing results. Italy, after a shocking failure to qualify for the World Cup for the second consecutive time, is seeking a Nations League triumph to restore confidence. They managed to keep a clean sheet in their most recent match after conceding in three consecutive games.

Spain, on the other hand, has been under scrutiny for their lack of goals despite dominating possession. They have only managed to score more than a single goal in one of their last five matches. Their recent 2-0 defeat to Scotland at Hampden Park in Glasgow was particularly disheartening, as they managed only three shots on target and failed to create a single clear-cut scoring chance despite holding 75% of the ball.

Predicted Lineups and Squad Analysis

Italy’s manager, Roberto Mancini, might field a backline of Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni, Federico Dimarco, and Napoli’s Di Lorenzo. However, the inclusion of Inter players, including influential midfielder Nico Barella, remains uncertain due to their recent Champions League final appearance.

Spain, dealing with injuries to key players like Iago Aspas, Alejandro Balde, and Pedri, is likely to see Jordi Alba and Dani Carvajal in the fullback positions, with Rodri anchoring the midfield. Gavi and Dani Olmo are expected to occupy the wide positions, with Joselu leading the Spanish frontline.

Key Points and Prediction

Spain’s slow, methodical buildup play and Italy’s robust defense suggest a low-scoring match. Six of the last eight meetings between these two nations have resulted in less than 2.5 goals scored. Our prediction for the Spain vs Italy match is under 2.5 goals.


While the Nations League may not carry the same weight as other major international competitions, it remains a crucial fixture for both nations undergoing a transition phase. A triumph in the 2022/23 Nations League could be a promising sign for the 2024 European Championship and beyond.

For the best sports betting experience, check out our rating of the top bookmakers for sports betting. Enjoy the game, and may the best team win!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *