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    04 September 2023

    Predictions for Rugby World Cup 2023: The Contenders for the Webb Ellis Cup

    Rugby World Cup 2023 Predictions: Who Will Triumph?

    Introduction

    After a series of rather chaotic ‘warm-up’ matches, we are left pondering the perplexities and inconsistencies that arise when trying to predict the winner of the upcoming Rugby World Cup in 2023. While it might be impossible for us to confidently identify the ultimate champion, there is a group of four teams who appear to be on an equal footing with their rivals.

    Opta’s tournament predictor, utilizing thousands of data points and its advanced AI Supercomputer, has simulated the Rugby World Cup a staggering ten million times. This process has provided us with percentage chances for each team to emerge victorious. The predictions consider various factors such as recent form, historical success, pool and fixture difficulty.

    Ireland’s Long-Awaited Success?

    The Irish national rugby team has never managed to progress beyond the quarter-final stage at any previous Rugby World Cups. However, this year could finally break that long-standing curse. Ireland currently holds the top spot in World Rugby rankings as we approach this prestigious event – making them our favored contenders (albeit by a narrow margin). Under Andy Farrell’s guidance, they seem more ready than ever before to become only the second northern hemisphere nation to lift the coveted Webb Ellis Cup since England triumphed back in 2003.

    French Flair Meets Consistency

    Hot on Ireland’s heels in our predictor are the French. Have the host nation finally discovered the perfect wine to accompany their Roquefort? The typical French flair and flamboyance have always been present, but now they possess a gritty defense and tactical nous that could propel them all the way to glory. With numerous superstars gracing their team, though missing key player Romain Ntamack will be felt, France has enough depth to overcome such setbacks.

    South Africa’s Unpredictable Journey

    For South Africa, traditional Test rugby results between World Cups seem almost irrelevant. Fans of the Springboks never wish for defeat, particularly when facing teams clad in black jerseys; however, there is an unwavering belief that everything will align perfectly come tournament time. Their recent resounding victory over New Zealand at Twickenham during warm-up matches indicates that they are peaking at just the right moment – presenting themselves as a formidable force aiming for their fourth World Cup triumph.

    New Zealand: A Formidable Force

    New Zealand may only rank fourth according to our predictions; yet, considering how tightly contested these top four spots are, they still possess an equal chance of clinching victory as any other contender. While entering with an unfortunate record defeat against arch-rivals South Africa isn’t ideal, All Blacks side is known for resilience. An injured New Zealand team can be one of the most intimidating prospects in international sport.

    An Explosive Opening Match

    The opening match of Rugby World Cup 2023 between New Zealand and France promises to be nothing short of monumental. Both sides aim to avoid replicating South Africa’s feat in 2019 by winning despite losing a pool stage game – a scenario neither team desires.

    Beyond the ‘Big Four’

    In addition to the four leading contenders, our predictions also identify four other teams with a slim chance of causing an upset and emerging victorious in the 2023 Rugby World Cup. Pool D rivals England and Argentina may lack consistency and form; however, they have proven their ability to challenge top nations during this World Cup cycle.

    A Challenging Road Ahead

    With Japan, Samoa, and tournament debutants Chile in their group, both England and Argentina are expected to progress comfortably into the quarter-finals. Our predictor provides England with a 46.1% chance of making it to the semi-finals. Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that no team has ever won the Rugby World Cup from Pool D – making history quite challenging for either side.

    Eddie Jones: A Tough Journey

    Since taking over as head coach for Australia in cricket… Oops! I mean rugby! Eddie Jones has faced numerous challenges along his coaching journey…

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